I am an amateur energy analyst and would like to throw this topic out for discussion. In North America in the past decade there has been a big RV boom and the ill conceived pandemic shutdown response plan has also fueled this boom. Big trucks and RVs are seemingly everywhere this past summer especially here in Jackson Wyoming. I am afraid that this boom is long in the tooth and the rise in fossil energy worldwide will in my opinion curtail any more expansion. Despite government assurances to the contrary I think we are heading for a severe recession with inflation, which is a bad combination. Rising fossil energy prices are a big piece of the picture. We were heading for relative curtailment of middle distillate supply by early winter even without the Ukraine war. World crude oil production peaked in 2018 and the lack of exploration for significant new sources has set the table for the decade ahead.
Diesel and other middle distillates are in relatively short supply world wide and we should plan on prices staying where they are for the foreseeable future and then climbing over the decade even here in the US. The kind of light sweet crude suitable for abundant diesel refining is limited worldwide. Gasoline looks to be a better bet going forward and of course it is generally quite a bit cheaper than diesel. I think we RV'ers need to wake up to these rising costs of energy and expect that one day fuels, especially diesel may be rationed which will derail the motorhome and big RVs. Diesel will be preferentially allocated to Agriculture, mining, airlines, commercial transportation, shipping and of course the military and we private citizens will be at the end of the line.Small light RV's and even we Alaskancamper types are better positioned going forward IMO.
